Cyclone Melissa Gains Power As It Moves Toward Jamaica

Hurricane Melissa movement
The cyclone has struck nearby countries

Cyclone Melissa is predicted to become a rare Category 5 storm as it veers in the direction of Jamaica, delivering dangerous rapid inundation and landslides.

The cyclone, which recorded wind speeds of up to 195 km/h as of 06:00 GMT, is now shifting toward the northwest in the Caribbean region and is projected to reach land by early next week, based on data from weather experts.

Advisories of blackouts and structural damage have been issued as this storm produces up to 76cm of rain and storm surges as high as 13ft above typical tides. "Seek shelter now," locals have been advised.

Melissa is the 13th hurricane in this year's Atlantic hurricane season, which usually concludes in November.

Most Intense Storm Risk

A category five cyclone is the strongest type, with wind speeds of at least 157 miles per hour.

While Melissa is set to weaken to a fourth-level storm before making landfall on the island, experts said there was "minimal real distinction in the total effects" upon landfall, and that the cyclone will be "at least that intensity" when it strikes the island.

Immediate Readiness Measures

With storm-force wind and rainfall already expected well before it moves across the island's interior - including potentially the national capital - alerts state that "safety measures need to be finalized quickly".

"An extended timeframe of damaging winds and heavy rainfall have begun and will cause severe and deadly flash flooding and multiple mudslides," counseled meteorological officials.

The country's head of government Andrew Holness said: "I understand that there are countless citizens who are anxious, who are very concerned, and with good reason: worry is natural.

"But the best way to address anxiety and any apprehension and worry is to be prepared."

Locals are being told to fortify their houses with protective bags and wooden boards, and to accumulate basic necessities.

Broader Impact

Alerts are also in effect for areas in the neighboring country encompassing the main city, Port au Prince, the Dominican Republic and Cuba's eastern region, where Melissa is projected to bring analogous consequences by the midweek period.

Mudslides currently triggered by the cyclone have caused two deaths in Haiti, according to local authorities.

Projected Path

This weather system is forecast to cross Cuba by the middle of the week before traveling via the Caribbean archipelago and entering the Atlantic.

By the moment it reaches Cuba, it is forecast to have weakened to a category three cyclone.

Environmental Context

Even though it is challenging to associate specific storms to environmental shifts, scientists say it is causing weather phenomena more prevalent and more severe.

Increased sea temperatures generate greater water vapor in the air, aiding in the formation of hurricanes.

Before the start of this year's Caribbean cyclone season, climate agencies projected higher-than-average occurrence, referencing elevated ocean temperatures and potential more intense weather patterns around African coastal regions - where hurricanes frequently develop.

Danielle Smith
Danielle Smith

Elara Vance is an art historian and curator with over a decade of experience in European contemporary art scenes.